Not the polls: The Texan who will pick the next Senator

Last updated September 7, 2026. The Paxton vs Talarico toss-up is real. Cook Political Report moved Texas to toss-up on August 20. Sabato followed. Polls sit inside a point. Texas still has not elected a Democrat statewide since 1994. Midterms reward people who already vote. That is Ken Paxton’s path through the Paxton vs Talarico … Read more